The mathematics of guaranteed profit
We bet on every possible outcome. One bet wins, the others lose โ but the winning bet pays out more than the total we staked.
It's not a bet. It's a calculation.
Each bookmaker sets their own odds based on their own analysis, risk models, and customer base. They're essentially expressing an opinion about probability - and opinions differ.
Several factors create price differences:
These differences are normal and legitimate. We're simply identifying when they're large enough to create a mathematical opportunity.
Let's be honest: bookmakers don't love arbitrage bettors. They're in business to make money, and they don't enjoy losing to anyone.
But here's what's often overlooked:
In every arbitrage bet, at least one bookmaker wins. You're placing bets on opposite outcomes at different bookmakers. When the event finishes, one of your bets wins and the others lose. The bookmakers on the losing side of your bet keep your stake.
Arbitrage bettors aren't extracting money from thin air - they're profiting from the difference between bookmakers. Individual bookmakers may win or lose on any given bet, just like with any other customer.
That said, bookmakers can and do limit accounts that consistently win. That's why we teach sustainable practices - spreading activity across bookmakers, varying bet sizes, and maintaining the kind of betting patterns that don't trigger restrictions.
Our system monitors odds from 15+ Australian bookmakers in real-time, comparing prices across thousands of events.
When the combined implied probabilities from different bookmakers add up to less than 100%, we've found an arbitrage opportunity.
You receive an SMS with the exact bets to place, at which bookmakers, and how much to stake on each outcome. Simple, clear instructions.
You place each bet at the specified bookmaker. Cover all outcomes, lock in your profit.
When the event finishes, one bet wins and the others lose. But your winning payout exceeds your total stakes. Guaranteed.
Adjust the total stake to see how the numbers work
Not all arbitrage opportunities are equal. You set your minimum profit threshold, and that creates a trade-off:
You can adjust your preferences anytime in your settings.
Betting exchanges (like Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook) work differently from traditional bookmakers and are essential tools for arbitrage betting.
Exchanges charge commission only on winning bets. This is crucial for arbitrage calculations:
When an arbitrage opportunity includes an exchange bet, we calculate your guaranteed minimum profit โ assuming the exchange leg wins (worst case). If the bookmaker leg wins instead, you pay no commission and your actual profit is slightly higher. No nasty surprises.
Arbitrage opportunities exist because of temporary pricing mismatches. They can disappear within minutes as bookmakers adjust their odds.
You'll need accounts at several bookmakers to take advantage of opportunities. We recommend having 5-10 active accounts.
Bookmakers can limit accounts that win consistently. We teach sustainable practices and track your account health to help you maintain access long-term.
Arbitrage profits are small percentages (typically 0.5-3%). You need sufficient capital to make meaningful returns. We recommend starting with at least $500-1000.